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Forex Market
USD: Mixed Wall St. Performance; AUD Holds Steady Near 0.6550
Wall Street had a soft session overnight, with the Nasdaq down 1.6%, the S&P 500 -0.7%, and the Dow Jones -0.3%. U.S. 10-year yields rose slightly to 4.09%, while Brent Crude was flat at $64.90/bbl. The AUD/USD traded between 0.6533–0.65975, settling near 0.6550/55 ahead of the Asian open.
Asian equities finished broadly lower: Hang Seng -0.6%, Shenzhen -0.8%, and Nikkei flat as the BOJ held. The ASX 200 closed -0.5% as consumer discretionary stocks fell 4.2%, dragging the index.
AUD/USD was bid from open, reaching 0.6593, before dipping to 0.6577 following limited comments post the Trump–Xi meeting, then rose to 0.66 highs after Trump described the meeting as “amazing.”
European data showed German and Eurozone unemployment unchanged at 6.3%, German Q3 GDP steady at 0.0% q/q, and Eurozone Q3 GDP beating slightly at 0.2% vs. 0.1% expected.
European equities closed mostly lower: FTSE -0.5%, CAC -0.5%, while Euro held near 1.1620 and Sterling dipped to 1.1385. Gold gained 1.7% to $4000/oz, and Brent slipped 0.5% to $64.6/bbl.
The USD rallied across majors through the NY morning with AUD/USD dropping to 0.6533 lows, NZD/USD to 0.5727, EUR/USD to 1.1547, GBP/USD to 1.3117, USD/CAD up to 1.40145, and USD/JPY to 154.45.
German CPI (Oct) printed at +0.3% MoM, +2.3% YoY, both 0.1% higher than expected — little market reaction as the USD stayed firm.
The ECB left rates unchanged, reiterating a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach. Lagarde’s comments were slightly hawkish, mentioning the potential for a digital euro.
EUR/USD recovered modestly off lows as the USD pared gains. AUD/USD rebounded above 0.6550 by the NY morning.
Late trade saw Wall Street mixed: Dow Jones +0.4%, S&P 500 -0.4%, and Nasdaq -1.0%. European markets pared losses but remained weaker, with CAC -0.5%, FTSE and DAX flat.
The NY afternoon was quiet, with majors range-bound ahead of the Sydney open, AUD/USD steady just above 0.6550.
Wall Street ended quietly: Nasdaq -1.2%, S&P 500 -0.7%, and Dow Jones unchanged.
Key Economic Data Ahead (Sydney Time)
General Market
Wall Street
Dow Jones -0.1% to 47,602
S&P 500 -0.6% to 6,849
Nasdaq -1.3% to 23,648
VIX -1.7% to 16.63
Asia-Pacific
ASX 200 -0.5% to 8,886
Shanghai Comp -0.7% to 3,987
Nikkei 0.0% to 51,326
Europe
FTSE 0.0% to 9,760
DAX 0.0% to 24,119
CAC -0.5% to 8,157
Headlines to Watch
Eurozone
Eurozone CPI is due later tonight. Macquarie Strategy expects risks skewed to the upside, following stronger-than-expected regional German CPI prints and a higher Spanish inflation figure. Lagarde’s recent remarks steering away from rate cut expectations may indicate the ECB foresees firmer inflation ahead.
Australia
AUD/USD traded in a buoyant 0.6533–0.65975 range overnight. Offers remain near 0.6630, with demand around 0.6500/10.
Mid-market rates
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