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Forex Market
USD: Wall St. Rebounds; AUD Holds Firm Near 0.6500
- AUD/USD traded between 0.6459–0.65125, settling near 0.6505/10 ahead of the Asian open.
- Asian equities were mixed — Nikkei -2.5%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shenzhen +0.2%. The ASX 200 -0.1%, led lower by tech (-2.7%) and real estate (-1.2%).
- NZD weakened after soft jobs data: unemployment rose to 5.3%, the highest in nine years, while employment fell -0.6% y/y.
- AUD/NZD advanced 30 pips to fresh 12-year highs after the release.
- European session: limited FX movement; EUR/USD hit 1.1476, GBP/USD eased from 1.3053 highs, USD/JPY rose to 153.85, USD/CAD climbed to 1.4139.
- U.S. data: October ADP Employment +42k (vs. -29k prior), ISM Services 52.4 (from 50.0), signaling solid momentum.
- The USD strengthened post-data, with EUR/USD and GBP/USD dipping, while AUD/USD briefly led gains above 0.6500.
- Fed’s Miran said rates “could be a little lower” and a December cut would be “reasonable.”
- Late trade saw the USD drift lower, with AUD/USD touching 0.65125 highs, NZD/USD at 0.5664, as Wall St. ended firmer.
Key Economic Data Ahead (Sydney Time)
General Market
- Dow Jones +0.6% to 47,372
- S&P 500 +0.8% to 6,825
- Nasdaq +1.2% to 23,622
- VIX -8.6% to 17.36
- ASX 200 -0.1% to 8,802
- Shanghai Comp +0.2% to 3,969
- Nikkei -2.5% to 50,212
- FTSE +0.6% to 9,777
- DAX +0.4% to 24,050
- CAC +0.1% to 8,074
Headlines to Watch
- The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.0% at its November meeting later tonight.
- Markets price only a 30% chance of a cut, as inflation remains at 3.8% y/y.
- The December meeting is viewed as “live,” with the Nov 26 Budget a key factor for policymakers.
- ECB officials Schnabel and Lane to speak on policy and inflation outlook.
- Slightly firmer regional CPI data may support the ECB’s data-dependent stance.
- ISM Services Index rose to 52.4 (vs. 50.0 prior), confirming steady expansion.
- Markets await jobless claims and productivity figures for further Fed cues.
- AUD/USD remains steady within 0.6459–0.65125 range.
- Support near 0.6450, resistance at 0.6570 as risk appetite improves post-Wall St. rebound.
- Unemployment rose to 5.3%, and employment fell -0.6% y/y, weighing on NZD.
- AUD/NZD touched 12-year highs, reflecting divergence in labor market trends.
Mid-market rates
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