Markets await China GDP & U.S. CPI, AUD pressured near lows

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Forex Market

USD: Flat Ahead of CPI Release

The U.S. dollar traded cautiously overnight, with investors awaiting June CPI data. Treasury yields edged higher, providing modest support to the greenback.

    • AUD/USD ranged between 0.6543–0.6587, closing near 0.6546 after retesting session lows.

    • NZD/USD softened to 0.5969, underperforming amid a risk-off tilt.

    • EUR/USD oscillated within 1.1650–1.1671, holding near mid-range into NY trade.

    • GBP/USD dipped to 1.3428 before stabilizing slightly.

    • USD/JPY climbed to 147.76, hitting fresh intraday highs.

    • USD/CAD moved off highs, ending around 1.3678 after intraday swings.

 

AUD: Slides Toward Lows on Risk Aversion

The Aussie weakened as risk sentiment soured ahead of U.S. CPI and ongoing trade tensions.Early gains above 0.6580 faded, with AUD/USD testing 0.6543 as the U.S. Dollar Index firmed.Falling oil prices added pressure, while copper’s modest rise limited losses. Offers sit near 0.6600; demand expected around 0.6400 on strong U.S. inflation data.

 

Key Economic Data Ahead (Sydney Time)

 

General Market

Wall Street

A calm session on Wall Street saw equities edge higher:

  • Nasdaq +0.3%

  • Dow Jones +0.2%

  • S&P 500 +0.2%

U.S. 10-year yields climbed to 4.42%, while Brent crude dropped -1.5% to $69.30/bbl.

Asia-Pacific

Asian equities were mixed:

  • Hang Seng +0.3%

  • Shenzhen +0.1%

  • Nikkei -0.3%

  • ASX -0.1% (dragged by industrials and discretionary)

Europe

European equities were softer overall:

  • FTSE +0.6%

  • Stoxx -0.2%

  • CAC -0.3%

  • DAX -0.4%

Gilts rallied as yields dipped to 4.6%, while the EUR remained range-bound.

 

 

Headlines to Watch

  • China GDP & Activity Data to Set the Tone
    Q2 GDP expected at +5.2% y/y, signaling a modest slowdown; retail sales may underwhelm at +4.6%.

  • U.S. CPI Due Tonight
    Headline and core CPI forecast at +0.3% m/m; key for Fed policy outlook.

  • Canada CPI in Focus
    Inflation print will guide BoC’s July decision after recent dovish comments.

  • Tariff Risks Keep Markets on Edge
    Trump’s latest tariff rhetoric dampens risk appetite ahead of key data.

 

Mid-market rates

Currency PairMid-market Rate
AUD/USD0.6542
AUD/NZD1.0958
AUD/JPY96.71
AUD/CNY4.6906
AUD/EUR0.5608
AUD/GBP0.4873
AUD/HKD5.1360

 

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