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Forex Market
Currency Watch: AUD and NZD Strengthen Amid USD Weakness
Global currencies saw notable moves overnight as risk sentiment remained solid and the U.S. dollar softened across major pairs. The Australian dollar led gains among the G10 currencies, supported by stronger-than-expected employment data and easing geopolitical tensions. Investor optimism around domestic job growth pushed the AUD higher, with traders also responding to broader market flows favoring riskier assets.
The New Zealand dollar followed a similar trajectory, buoyed by expectations of stronger inflation in the fourth quarter, which could influence Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decisions in the coming months.
Across Europe, the euro and British pound strengthened against the U.S. dollar, reflecting softer dollar momentum and political developments in the UK. The pound showed additional volatility following news around potential leadership changes in the Labour Party, impacting short-term market sentiment.
The U.S. dollar retreated broadly following revised Q3 GDP figures and inflation releases, while the Canadian dollar and Japanese yen also benefited from the greenback’s weakness. Investors monitored U.S. economic data, including weekly jobless claims and personal consumption figures, which reinforced the narrative of resilient U.S. growth but limited upside for the dollar.
Overall, currency markets remain sensitive to a combination of economic data releases, geopolitical headlines, and central bank policy expectations, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars particularly benefiting from positive domestic signals and broader risk-on sentiment.
General Market
- Dow Jones +0.9% → 49,538
- S&P 500 +0.8% → 6,929
- Nasdaq +1.1% → 23,487
- VIX −9.0% → 15.38
- ASX 200 +0.7% → 8,849
- Nikkei 225 +1.7% → 53,689
- Shanghai Comp +0.1% → 4,123
- Hang Seng +0.2%
- DAX +1.2% → 24,856
- CAC 40 +1.0% → 8,149
- FTSE 100 +0.1% → 10,150
Headlines to Watch
- CPI q/q (Q4): Expected +0.6%; stronger inflation could support RBNZ pausing rates in February.
- BOJ Target Rate (23 Jan): Focus on policy decision and guidance on next rate hike timing.
- S&P Global Aus Composite PMI (Jan): Gauge of domestic business activity.
- Employment Data (Dec): Jobless rate at 4.1%, lower than expected 4.3%; employment growth supporting AUD strength.
- S&P Global UK Composite PMI (Jan): Services and manufacturing trends shaping GBP movement.
- HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Jan): Business activity trends; potential euro volatility indicator.
- Kansas City Fed Services Activity (Jan): Regional services momentum.
- S&P Global US Composite PMI (Jan): Overall business activity gauge.
- Q3 GDP (Revised): Up 0.1% to 4.4%; highlights growth momentum.
- Core PCE & Personal Spending (Nov): Inflation and consumer demand trends guiding Fed expectations.
- Weekly Jobless Claims: Initial claims at 200k vs 209k expected; labour market health check.
- Retail Sales m/m (Nov): Consumer demand outlook; signals for BoC policy.
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